Tell Me What You Don't Know: Large Language Models and the Pathologies of Intelligence Analysis 2024

Description

Discussing AI, Automated Systems, and the Future of War Seminar Series

This seminar seeks to offer a warning. Prompted by the likely increase in the use of artificial intelligence (AI) in intelligence analysis, it will raise grave concerns about the prospect of relying on large language models (LLMs), including in high-stakes contexts such as the state-level resort-to-force decision-making that is the subject of this broader Defence-funded project. It will begin by identifying the twin informational pathologies that intelligence analysis is subject to by its very nature: information scarcity and epistemic scarcity.